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ASO Chlef vs Khenchela: prediction and statistics
Algeria · Ligue 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: ASO Chlef · Khenchela
Before kick-off
Ligue 1, 20 November 2026: ASO Chlef are at home to Khenchela. They are neighbours in the table: ASO Chlef are 15th and Khenchela 13th of 16. ASO Chlef are fighting at the wrong end of the table.
The last 5 games brought ASO Chlef no victory — 3 draws and 2 defeats. Khenchela are still looking for a win: 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) ASO Chlef have 12 wins, 13 draws and 10 defeats in 35 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for Khenchela — 7 wins, 7 draws and 19 defeats in 33 away matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.7 on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 8 meetings — wins: ASO Chlef 2, Khenchela 4; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 4 February 2026, finished Khenchela 2:2 ASO Chlef. On average these meetings produce 3.2 goals.
Form
ASO Chlef: last five matches — D-L-D-D-L.
- 12 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Khenchela: last five matches — L-D-L-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
Table: ASO Chlef — 15, Khenchela — 13 (of 16).
Home and away record
ASO Chlef at home and Khenchela away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| ASO Chlef | Khenchela | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 33 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-13-10 | 7-7-19 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: ASO Chlef won 2, 2 draws, Khenchela won 4. Per match: 3.2 goals.
- 04.02.2026: Khenchela 2:2 ASO Chlef
- 30.08.2025: ASO Chlef 1:2 Khenchela
- 07.03.2025: Khenchela 3:2 ASO Chlef
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 44% – 29% – 27%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 23% of ASO Chlef’s home matches and 55% of Khenchela’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: ASO Chlef 1.9, Khenchela 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 41% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 59%, typical match 54%.
Result
Our model: ASO Chlef win 44%, draw 29%, Khenchela win 27%. Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 42%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| ASO Chlef | Khenchela | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 34% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 23% | 55% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 52% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 3.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 31% | 36% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.