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ES Setif vs US Biskra: prediction and statistics
Algeria · Ligue 1 · 20 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: ES Setif · US Biskra
Before kick-off
Ligue 1, 20 November 2026: ES Setif are at home to US Biskra. ES Setif sit 10th in the 16-team table while US Biskra are 16th, so 6 places separate the two sides. US Biskra are in the bottom three.
An uneven run for ES Setif: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. US Biskra have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 5 against 5.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) ES Setif have 17 wins, 12 draws and 6 defeats in 35 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded. Trips have rarely paid off for US Biskra — 1 win, 7 draws and 11 defeats in 19 away matches, scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.6 on average. Both samples are low on goals: 2.0 per game in home matches of ES Setif and 2.1 in away matches of US Biskra.
Head to head there is no clear master over 14 meetings — wins: ES Setif 7, US Biskra 2; draws: 5. The most recent meeting, on 20 June 2025, finished ES Setif 1:0 US Biskra. On average these meetings produce 2.3 goals.
Form
ES Setif: last five matches — L-W-D-L-D.
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches without a win · at home
US Biskra: last five matches — W-D-L-L-D.
- 10 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: ES Setif — 10, US Biskra — 16 (of 16).
Home and away record
ES Setif at home and US Biskra away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| ES Setif | US Biskra | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 19 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-12-6 | 1-7-11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.6 |
Head to head
14 meetings in our database: ES Setif won 7, 5 draws, US Biskra won 2. Per match: 2.3 goals.
- 20.06.2025: ES Setif 1:0 US Biskra
- 27.12.2024: US Biskra 0:0 ES Setif
- 26.04.2024: US Biskra 2:2 ES Setif
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- ES Setif is the more likely winner in our model: 64%, draw 24%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 34% of ES Setif’s home matches and 37% of US Biskra’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: ES Setif 2.3, US Biskra 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 68%, typical match 66%.
Result
Our model: ES Setif win 64%, draw 24%, US Biskra win 12%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 34%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| ES Setif | US Biskra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 49% | 5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% | 37% |
| Both teams score | 49% | 37% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 43% | 58% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 0.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.