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Aucas vs LDU de Quito: prediction and statistics
Ecuador · Liga Pro · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.7 corners in the match: Aucas 5.6, LDU de Quito 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 51% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 51%, typical match 47%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: Aucas 2.0, LDU de Quito 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 49% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 51%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Aucas win 40%, draw 30%, LDU de Quito win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Aucas: last five matches — W-L-W-D-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
LDU de Quito: last five matches — D-W-L-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Aucas — 4, LDU de Quito — 5 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Aucas at home and LDU de Quito away, 2024–2026.
| Aucas | LDU de Quito | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 51 |
| Win rate | 49% | 45% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 47% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 51% |
| Total corners per match | 9.7 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52% | 67% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 54% |
Head to head
27 meetings in our database: Aucas won 7, 10 draws, LDU de Quito won 10. Per match: 2.1 goals, 10.4 corners, 6.1 yellow cards.
- 26.08.2026: LDU de Quito 1:0 Aucas
- 17.08.2026: Aucas 0:1 LDU de Quito
- 23.04.2026: LDU de Quito 0:0 Aucas
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?
Our model expects 9.7 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 51%.
How many yellow cards in Aucas vs LDU de Quito?
Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 49%.
Who is more likely to win Aucas vs LDU de Quito?
Our model: Aucas 40%, draw 30%, LDU de Quito 31%.