Xpect
Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario: prediction and statistics
Ecuador · Liga Pro · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Deportivo Cuenca 5.5, Tecnico Universitario 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Deportivo Cuenca 2.0, Tecnico Universitario 2.7; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 51% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 51%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Cuenca win 43%, draw 29%, Tecnico Universitario win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 43%.
Form
Deportivo Cuenca: last five matches — L-D-W-L-D.
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Tecnico Universitario: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Deportivo Cuenca — 12, Tecnico Universitario — 14 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportivo Cuenca at home and Tecnico Universitario away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 49 |
| Win rate | 35% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 39% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 57% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Deportivo Cuenca won 10, 5 draws, Tecnico Universitario won 5. Per match: 2.5 goals, 9.0 corners, 3.7 yellow cards.
- 29.08.2026: Tecnico Universitario 3:1 Deportivo Cuenca
- 02.05.2026: Deportivo Cuenca 2:1 Tecnico Universitario
- 14.09.2025: Tecnico Universitario 0:2 Deportivo Cuenca
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 51%.
Who is more likely to win Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our model: Deportivo Cuenca 43%, draw 29%, Tecnico Universitario 28%.