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Delfin SC vs Manta FC: prediction and statistics
Ecuador · Liga Pro · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Delfin SC 5.2, Manta FC 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 55%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Delfin SC 2.1, Manta FC 2.6; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 69%, typical match 70%.
Result
Our model: Delfin SC win 49%, draw 30%, Manta FC win 21%. Over 2.5 goals — 31%, both teams to score — 36%.
Form
Delfin SC: last five matches — D-L-W-L-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Manta FC: last five matches — L-W-L-L-L.
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 3 losses in a row · away
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Delfin SC — 15, Manta FC — 16 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Delfin SC at home and Manta FC away, 2024–2026.
| Delfin SC | Manta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 33 |
| Win rate | 33% | 12% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 39% |
| Both teams score | 35% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 9.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37% | 36% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 5.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 46% |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Delfin SC won 6, 3 draws, Manta FC won 1. Per match: 1.6 goals, 7.3 corners, 6.5 yellow cards.
- 15.07.2026: Manta FC 0:1 Delfin SC
- 14.03.2026: Delfin SC 0:1 Manta FC
- 28.06.2025: Delfin SC 2:0 Manta FC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own goals model — attack and defence of each team over its last 30 matches compared with the competition average, Poisson distribution for each team’s goals; tested the same way on 445,280 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Delfin SC vs Manta FC?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Delfin SC vs Manta FC?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.
Who is more likely to win Delfin SC vs Manta FC?
Our model: Delfin SC 49%, draw 30%, Manta FC 21%.