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Audace Cerignola vs Savoia: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone C · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Audace Cerignola · Savoia
Result
Our model: Audace Cerignola win 50%, draw 25%, Savoia win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 53%.
Form
Audace Cerignola: last five matches — D-W-W-D-D.
- 14 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Savoia: last five matches — W-W-D-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Audace Cerignola — 6, Savoia — 15 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Audace Cerignola at home and Savoia away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Audace Cerignola | Savoia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 5 |
| Win rate | 51% | 20% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 40% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Audace Cerignola vs Savoia?
Our model: Audace Cerignola 50%, draw 25%, Savoia 26%.