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Inter U23 vs SS Monopoli: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone C · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Inter U23 · SS Monopoli
Result
Our model: Inter U23 win 38%, draw 30%, SS Monopoli win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 41%.
Form
Inter U23: last five matches — L-L-D-L-W.
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
SS Monopoli: last five matches — D-L-D-W-L.
Table: Inter U23 — 14, SS Monopoli — 11 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Inter U23 at home and SS Monopoli away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Inter U23 | SS Monopoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 42 |
| Win rate | 33% | 38% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 29% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 29% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Inter U23 vs SS Monopoli?
Our model: Inter U23 38%, draw 30%, SS Monopoli 32%.