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Salernitana vs Scafatese: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone C · 17 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Salernitana · Scafatese
Result
Our model: Salernitana win 40%, draw 26%, Scafatese win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Form
Salernitana: last five matches — L-D-W-W-W.
- 4 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 wins in a row · at home
Scafatese: last five matches — D-D-D-W-D.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Salernitana — 8, Scafatese — 7 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Salernitana at home and Scafatese away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Salernitana | Scafatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 24 | 4 |
| Win rate | 54% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 75% |
| Both teams score | 63% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Salernitana won 0, 0 draws, Scafatese won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 15.08.2026: Salernitana 1:2 Scafatese
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Salernitana vs Scafatese?
Our model: Salernitana 40%, draw 26%, Scafatese 35%.