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Cavese vs Casarano: prediction and statistics
Italy · Serie C – Girone C · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Result
Our model: Cavese win 41%, draw 28%, Casarano win 32%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.
Form
Cavese: last five matches — L-W-L-W-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Casarano: last five matches — L-L-L-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Table: Cavese — 10, Casarano — 13 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cavese at home and Casarano away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cavese | Casarano | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 42 | 23 |
| Win rate | 40% | 26% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 65% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
5 meetings in our database: Cavese won 2, 2 draws, Casarano won 1. Per match: 2.6 goals.
- 31.01.2026: Cavese 1:1 Casarano
- 21.09.2025: Casarano 3:0 Cavese
- 21.05.2023: Cavese 3:0 Casarano
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Cavese vs Casarano?
Our model: Cavese 41%, draw 28%, Casarano 32%.