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Baniyas SC vs Al Nasr: prediction and statistics
United Arab Emirates · Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Baniyas SC · Al Nasr
Before kick-off
Baniyas SC host Al Nasr in Pro League on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Al Nasr are 7th of 14, Baniyas SC 14th — a gap of 7 places. Baniyas SC are in the bottom three.
Results have gone against Baniyas SC recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. Al Nasr are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 3 and 4.
Home matches have been a struggle for Baniyas SC (2024/25–2026/27) — 5 wins, 10 draws and 15 defeats in 30 games, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2.0 on average. Away from home Al Nasr have 9 wins, 9 draws and 10 defeats in 28 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.6 per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.1 per game in home matches of Baniyas SC and 3.1 in away matches of Al Nasr.
The 31 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Baniyas SC 7, Al Nasr 16, draws 8. Last time out (23 October 2026) it ended Al Nasr 0:1 Baniyas SC. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Baniyas SC: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Al Nasr: last five matches — D-L-W-L-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Baniyas SC — 14, Al Nasr — 7 (of 14).
Home and away record
Baniyas SC at home and Al Nasr away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Baniyas SC | Al Nasr | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 28 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 5-10-15 | 9-9-10 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
Head to head
31 meetings in our database: Baniyas SC won 7, 8 draws, Al Nasr won 16. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 23.10.2026: Al Nasr 0:1 Baniyas SC
- 29.01.2026: Al Nasr 0:2 Baniyas SC
- 02.01.2026: Baniyas SC 1:2 Al Nasr
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 60% of Baniyas SC home games and 64% of Al Nasr away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Baniyas SC 34%, draw 25%, Al Nasr 41%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Baniyas SC 2.0, Al Nasr 1.8; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 36%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 67%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: Baniyas SC win 34%, draw 25%, Al Nasr win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Baniyas SC | Al Nasr | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 17% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 64% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | 10.0 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 61% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 27% | 39% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.