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Dubai United vs Al Wahda FC: prediction and statistics
United Arab Emirates · Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Dubai United · Al Wahda FC
Before kick-off
Dubai United host Al Wahda FC in Pro League on 21 November 2026. In the standings Dubai United are 11th and Al Wahda FC 6th out of 14 teams.
Dubai United arrive in excellent form: 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Al Wahda FC right now — 4 wins and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 11 and 12.
Home advantage matters here: Dubai United have 3 wins and 3 draws in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. On the road Al Wahda FC are a dangerous side — 12 wins, 10 draws and 7 defeats in 29 away matches, 1.4 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. Last time out (1 February 2026) it ended Al Wahda FC 2:2 Dubai United.
Form
Dubai United: last five matches — W-D-W-D-W.
- 13 matches unbeaten · at home
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
Al Wahda FC: last five matches — L-W-W-W-W.
- 4 wins in a row · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Dubai United — 11, Al Wahda FC — 6 (of 14).
Home and away record
Dubai United at home and Al Wahda FC away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Dubai United | Al Wahda FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 29 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 3-3-0 | 12-10-7 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 1.0 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Dubai United won 0, 1 draws, Al Wahda FC won 0. Per match: 4.0 goals.
- 01.02.2026: Al Wahda FC 2:2 Dubai United
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 33% of Dubai United home games and 35% of Al Wahda FC away games.
- Our model makes Al Wahda FC the favourite at 65%; a draw is 21%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Dubai United 2.0, Al Wahda FC 1.7; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 33% (typical match — 36%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 67%, typical match 64%.
Result
Our model: Dubai United win 14%, draw 21%, Al Wahda FC win 65%. Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 47%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Dubai United | Al Wahda FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 35% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 45% |
| Total corners per match | 11.0 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 100% | 59% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.0 | 3.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 21% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 6.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.