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Khorfakkan vs Al-Jazira: prediction and statistics
United Arab Emirates · Pro League · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Khorfakkan · Al-Jazira
Before kick-off
Pro League, 21 November 2026: Khorfakkan are at home to Al-Jazira. Al-Jazira sit 1st in the 14-team table while Khorfakkan are 10th, so 9 places separate the two sides.
Khorfakkan are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Al-Jazira are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. On points from those games the gap is clear: 9 for Al-Jazira against 4 for Khorfakkan.
Khorfakkan have not made their ground a fortress: 7 wins, 12 draws and 11 defeats in 30 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.5 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game. Al-Jazira travel well: 12 wins, 10 draws and 8 defeats in 30 away matches, with 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Goals are rarely in short supply in these samples: 3.2 per game in home matches of Khorfakkan and 3.1 in away matches of Al-Jazira.
Head to head there is no clear master over 16 meetings — wins: Khorfakkan 6, Al-Jazira 8; draws: 2. The most recent meeting, on 2 October 2026, finished Khorfakkan 0:2 Al-Jazira. On average these meetings produce 3.8 goals.
Form
Khorfakkan: last five matches — D-L-L-L-W.
- 7 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Al-Jazira: last five matches — D-W-D-D-W.
- 15 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 4 wins in a row · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Khorfakkan — 10, Al-Jazira — 1 (of 14).
Home and away record
Khorfakkan at home and Al-Jazira away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Khorfakkan | Al-Jazira | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 30 | 30 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 7-12-11 | 12-10-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.4 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Khorfakkan won 6, 2 draws, Al-Jazira won 8. Per match: 3.8 goals.
- 02.10.2026: Khorfakkan 0:2 Al-Jazira
- 16.03.2026: Al-Jazira 3:1 Khorfakkan
- 17.08.2025: Khorfakkan 3:2 Al-Jazira
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Al-Jazira is the more likely winner in our model: 69%, draw 18%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 50% of Khorfakkan’s home matches and 53% of Al-Jazira’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Khorfakkan 2.3, Al-Jazira 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 36%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 56%.
Result
Our model: Khorfakkan win 12%, draw 18%, Al-Jazira win 69%. Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 50%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Khorfakkan | Al-Jazira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 23% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 9.5 | 8.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 35% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 30% | 43% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.