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BSK Banja Luka vs Zrinjski: prediction and statistics
Bosnia and Herzegovina · Premijer Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: BSK Banja Luka · Zrinjski
Before kick-off
Premijer Liga, 21 November 2026: BSK Banja Luka are at home to Zrinjski. BSK Banja Luka go into the match 5th of 10 in the table, Zrinjski are 1st.
An uneven run for BSK Banja Luka: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat from the last 5 games. Zrinjski arrive in excellent form: 5 wins in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 15 for Zrinjski against 6 for BSK Banja Luka.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) BSK Banja Luka have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 6 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Zrinjski travel well: 28 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats in 40 away matches, with 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. The most recent meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Zrinjski 3:1 BSK Banja Luka.
Form
BSK Banja Luka: last five matches — L-W-D-D-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · at home
Zrinjski: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 10 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 5 wins in a row · away
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
Table: BSK Banja Luka — 5, Zrinjski — 1 (of 10).
Home and away record
BSK Banja Luka at home and Zrinjski away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| BSK Banja Luka | Zrinjski | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-3-1 | 28-4-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 0.7 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: BSK Banja Luka won 0, 0 draws, Zrinjski won 1. Per match: 4.0 goals.
- 01.09.2026: Zrinjski 3:1 BSK Banja Luka
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Zrinjski is the more likely winner in our model: 66%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 33% of BSK Banja Luka’s home matches and 45% of Zrinjski’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: BSK Banja Luka 1.8, Zrinjski 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: BSK Banja Luka win 13%, draw 22%, Zrinjski win 66%. Over 2.5 goals — 46%, both teams to score — 41%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| BSK Banja Luka | Zrinjski | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 45% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 35% |
| Total corners per match | — | 5.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 0% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 43% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.