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Čelik vs Sloga Doboj: prediction and statistics
Bosnia and Herzegovina · Premijer Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Čelik · Sloga Doboj
Before kick-off
Čelik host Sloga Doboj in Premijer Liga on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Čelik are 8th, Sloga Doboj 10th in a table of 10. Both sides are in the bottom three.
Čelik have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Sloga Doboj are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games.
Home matches have been a struggle for Čelik (2024/25–2026/27) — 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 6 games, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.8 on average. Sloga Doboj find it hard on the road: 8 wins, 11 draws and 21 defeats in 40 away matches, 0.7 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game.
The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 1 meeting between them. Last time out (1 September 2026) it ended Sloga Doboj 0:0 Čelik.
Form
Čelik: last five matches — W-W-D-L-L.
- 7 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Sloga Doboj: last five matches — W-W-L-L-W.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
Table: Čelik — 8, Sloga Doboj — 10 (of 10).
Home and away record
Čelik at home and Sloga Doboj away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Čelik | Sloga Doboj | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-1-3 | 8-11-21 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Čelik won 0, 1 draws, Sloga Doboj won 0. Per match: 0.0 goals.
- 01.09.2026: Sloga Doboj 0:0 Čelik
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 83% of Čelik home games and 43% of Sloga Doboj away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Čelik 44%, draw 27%, Sloga Doboj 29%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Čelik 1.8, Sloga Doboj 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Čelik win 44%, draw 27%, Sloga Doboj win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Čelik | Sloga Doboj | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 83% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 8.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 0% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 40% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.