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Radnik Bijeljina vs Velež: prediction and statistics
Bosnia and Herzegovina · Premijer Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Radnik Bijeljina · Velež
Before kick-off
Radnik Bijeljina host Velež in Premijer Liga on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Radnik Bijeljina are 9th, Velež 7th in a table of 10. Radnik Bijeljina are in the bottom three.
Radnik Bijeljina have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Velež are in a difficult spell: 1 win and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches.
The home record of Radnik Bijeljina (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 18 wins, 9 draws and 13 defeats in 40 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. Away from home Velež have 10 wins, 10 draws and 21 defeats in 41 matches, scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game.
The 17 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Radnik Bijeljina 5, Velež 7, draws 5. Last time out (2 September 2026) it ended Velež 1:1 Radnik Bijeljina. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Radnik Bijeljina: last five matches — L-L-W-D-W.
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
Velež: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Radnik Bijeljina — 9, Velež — 7 (of 10).
Home and away record
Radnik Bijeljina at home and Velež away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Radnik Bijeljina | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 40 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 18-9-13 | 10-10-21 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
Head to head
17 meetings in our database: Radnik Bijeljina won 5, 5 draws, Velež won 7. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 02.09.2026: Velež 1:1 Radnik Bijeljina
- 01.05.2026: Velež 1:0 Radnik Bijeljina
- 28.02.2026: Radnik Bijeljina 1:0 Velež
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 45% of Radnik Bijeljina home games and 46% of Velež away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Radnik Bijeljina 2.1, Velež 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Radnik Bijeljina win 48%, draw 27%, Velež win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Radnik Bijeljina | Velež | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 45% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 45% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 53% | 51% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.