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Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Borac Banja Luka: prediction and statistics
Bosnia and Herzegovina · Premijer Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo · Borac Banja Luka
Before kick-off
Premijer Liga, 21 November 2026: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are at home to Borac Banja Luka. Zeljeznicar Sarajevo go into the match 6th of 10 in the table, Borac Banja Luka are 2nd. Borac Banja Luka are in the top three.
Recent results of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo are mostly positive — 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat from 5 games. Borac Banja Luka have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 8 against 9.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Zeljeznicar Sarajevo have 20 wins, 14 draws and 7 defeats in 41 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Borac Banja Luka travel well: 25 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats in 39 away matches, with 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Head to head there is no clear master over 25 meetings — wins: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 8, Borac Banja Luka 12; draws: 5. The most recent meeting, on 2 September 2026, finished Borac Banja Luka 2:0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo: last five matches — D-W-W-D-L.
Borac Banja Luka: last five matches — W-L-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo — 6, Borac Banja Luka — 2 (of 10).
Home and away record
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo at home and Borac Banja Luka away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 39 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-14-7 | 25-8-6 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo won 8, 5 draws, Borac Banja Luka won 12. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 02.09.2026: Borac Banja Luka 2:0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
- 16.05.2026: Borac Banja Luka 1:0 Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
- 14.03.2026: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 0:1 Borac Banja Luka
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Borac Banja Luka is the more likely winner in our model: 62%, draw 22%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 46% of Zeljeznicar Sarajevo’s home matches and 33% of Borac Banja Luka’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo 2.1, Borac Banja Luka 1.7; typical match of the competition — 4.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 52%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 66%, typical match 49%.
Result
Our model: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win 16%, draw 22%, Borac Banja Luka win 62%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 48%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Zeljeznicar Sarajevo | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 49% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 54% | 36% |
| Total corners per match | — | 11.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 44% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.