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Cracovia Krakow vs Jagiellonia: prediction and statistics
Poland · Ekstraklasa · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Cracovia Krakow · Jagiellonia
Before kick-off
Ekstraklasa, 21 November 2026: Cracovia Krakow are at home to Jagiellonia. Jagiellonia sit 9th in the 18-team table while Cracovia Krakow are 15th, so 6 places separate the two sides.
Cracovia Krakow are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Jagiellonia have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Cracovia Krakow have 13 wins, 16 draws and 12 defeats in 41 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Jagiellonia travel well: 17 wins, 12 draws and 11 defeats in 40 away matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head there is no clear master over 19 meetings — wins: Cracovia Krakow 7, Jagiellonia 8; draws: 4. The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Cracovia Krakow 0:0 Jagiellonia. On average these meetings produce 3.2 goals.
Form
Cracovia Krakow: last five matches — L-L-W-D-L.
- 8 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 losses in a row · all competitions
Jagiellonia: last five matches — L-L-W-W-L.
Table: Cracovia Krakow — 15, Jagiellonia — 9 (of 18).
Home and away record
Cracovia Krakow at home and Jagiellonia away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Cracovia Krakow | Jagiellonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 40 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-16-12 | 17-12-11 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Head to head
19 meetings in our database: Cracovia Krakow won 7, 4 draws, Jagiellonia won 8. Per match: 3.2 goals.
- 14.02.2026: Cracovia Krakow 0:0 Jagiellonia
- 10.08.2025: Jagiellonia 5:2 Cracovia Krakow
- 23.02.2025: Cracovia Krakow 2:2 Jagiellonia
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 51% of Cracovia Krakow’s home matches and 53% of Jagiellonia’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Cracovia Krakow: 6.0 against 3.9 for Jagiellonia.
- Jagiellonia is the more likely winner in our model: 51%, draw 25%.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 9.9 corners in the match: Cracovia Krakow 6.0, Jagiellonia 3.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 53% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 59%, typical match 57%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Cracovia Krakow 2.1, Jagiellonia 1.9; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 57%.
Result
Our model: Cracovia Krakow win 25%, draw 25%, Jagiellonia win 51%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Cracovia Krakow | Jagiellonia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 32% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 53% |
| Both teams score | 71% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | 9.3 | 10.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 35% | 55% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 49% | 35% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.4 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.