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Radomiak Radom vs Wisla Krakow: prediction and statistics

Poland · Ekstraklasa · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

Radomiak Radom host Wisla Krakow in Ekstraklasa on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Wisla Krakow are 5th of 18, Radomiak Radom 14th — a gap of 9 places.

Radomiak Radom have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for Wisla Krakow: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from the last 5 games.

The home record of Radomiak Radom (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 18 wins, 10 draws and 13 defeats in 41 matches, 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Wisla Krakow find it hard on the road: 3 draws and 4 defeats in 7 away matches, 1.1 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

The sides have rarely met: the Xpect database holds 2 meetings between them. Last time out (15 May 2022) it ended Radomiak Radom 4:2 Wisla Krakow.

Form

Radomiak Radom: last five matches — W-L-W-L-W.

Wisla Krakow: last five matches — D-W-L-D-L.

Table: Radomiak Radom — 14, Wisla Krakow — 5 (of 18).

Home and away record

Radomiak Radom at home and Wisla Krakow away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Radomiak RadomWisla Krakow
Matches417
Wins · draws · losses18-10-130-3-4
Goals scored per match1.71.1
Goals conceded per match1.22.0

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: Radomiak Radom won 2, 0 draws, Wisla Krakow won 0. Per match: 3.5 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 59% of Radomiak Radom home games and 57% of Wisla Krakow away games.

Corners

59%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Radomiak Radom 5.5, Wisla Krakow 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 59% (typical match — 55%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 59%, typical match 55%.

Yellow cards

55%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Radomiak Radom 2.1, Wisla Krakow 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 43%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 64%, typical match 62%.

Result

Our model: Radomiak Radom win 28%, draw 22%, Wisla Krakow win 50%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 63%.

Team statistics for three seasons

Radomiak RadomWisla Krakow
Win rate44%0%
Over 2.5 goals59%57%
Both teams score71%71%
Total corners per match10.09.9
Over 9.5 corners49%43%
Total yellow cards per match4.54.1
Over 4.5 yellow cards49%57%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 10.5 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.5 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction