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Cusco vs Alianza Lima: prediction and statistics
Peru · Primera División · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.4 corners in the match: Cusco 4.4, Alianza Lima 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.7. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 34% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 66%, typical match 49%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Cusco 2.1, Alianza Lima 2.2; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 43% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 57%, typical match 42%.
Form
Cusco: last five matches — W-W-W-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Alianza Lima: last five matches — L-D-D-D-D.
- 7 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 4 matches unbeaten · away
Table: Cusco — 5, Alianza Lima — 1 (of 18).
Team statistics for three seasons
Cusco at home and Alianza Lima away, 2024–2026.
| Cusco | Alianza Lima | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 49 | 48 |
| Win rate | 69% | 50% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.7 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 43% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 8.5 | 7.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 31% | 38% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 51% |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Cusco won 4, 3 draws, Alianza Lima won 4. Per match: 2.7 goals, 11.3 corners, 4.2 yellow cards.
- 19.04.2026: Alianza Lima 8:0 Cusco
- 19.07.2025: Cusco 2:0 Alianza Lima
- 09.02.2025: Alianza Lima 3:0 Cusco
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Cusco vs Alianza Lima?
Our model expects 8.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 34%.
How many yellow cards in Cusco vs Alianza Lima?
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 43%.