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Daegu FC vs Gimhae City: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 2 · 22 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Daegu FC · Gimhae City
Before kick-off
K League 2, 22 November 2026: Daegu FC are at home to Gimhae City. Daegu FC sit 4th in the 17-team table while Gimhae City are 17th, so 13 places separate the two sides. Gimhae City are in the bottom three.
Few sides are in better shape than Daegu FC right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Results have gone against Gimhae City recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. On points from those games the gap is clear: 11 for Daegu FC against 3 for Gimhae City.
Daegu FC are hard to beat on their own ground — 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in 15 home matches (2024–2026), with 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Trips have rarely paid off for Gimhae City — 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats in 15 away matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.9 on average.
Head to head, Daegu FC have the upper hand: 3 wins in 3 meetings with Gimhae City in the Xpect database. The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Gimhae City 1:4 Daegu FC. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Daegu FC: last five matches — W-D-W-W-D.
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · at home
Gimhae City: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
Table: Daegu FC — 4, Gimhae City — 17 (of 17).
Home and away record
Daegu FC at home and Gimhae City away, 2024–2026.
| Daegu FC | Gimhae City | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 15 | 15 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 9-3-3 | 3-4-8 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.9 |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Daegu FC won 3, 0 draws, Gimhae City won 0. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 17.05.2026: Gimhae City 1:4 Daegu FC
- 16.04.2025: Daegu FC 2:0 Gimhae City
- 26.05.2021: Daegu FC 2:0 Gimhae City
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 67% of Daegu FC’s home matches and 40% of Gimhae City’s away matches over three seasons.
- Head to head favours Daegu FC: 3 wins in 3 meetings with Gimhae City.
- Daegu FC is the more likely winner in our model: 70%, draw 18%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.8 yellow cards: Daegu FC 1.7, Gimhae City 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 34% (typical match — 31%).
Result
Our model: Daegu FC win 70%, draw 18%, Gimhae City win 13%. Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 53%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Daegu FC | Gimhae City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 60% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 60% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 4.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 27% | 47% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.0 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.