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Jeonnam Dragons vs Ansan Greeners: prediction and statistics
South Korea · K League 2 · 22 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Jeonnam Dragons · Ansan Greeners
Before kick-off
Jeonnam Dragons host Ansan Greeners in K League 2 on 22 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Jeonnam Dragons are 16th, Ansan Greeners 15th in a table of 17. Both sides are in the bottom three.
Jeonnam Dragons have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. Ansan Greeners are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Measured in points the two runs are close — 5 and 4.
The home record of Jeonnam Dragons (2024–2026) is balanced: 20 wins, 16 draws and 17 defeats in 53 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded per game. Away from home Ansan Greeners have 11 wins, 16 draws and 26 defeats in 53 matches, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.6 per game.
The 25 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Jeonnam Dragons 10, Ansan Greeners 9, draws 6. Last time out (25 April 2026) it ended Ansan Greeners 2:1 Jeonnam Dragons. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Jeonnam Dragons: last five matches — D-L-W-L-D.
- 8 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Ansan Greeners: last five matches — L-W-L-L-D.
- 3 matches without a win · away
Table: Jeonnam Dragons — 16, Ansan Greeners — 15 (of 17).
Home and away record
Jeonnam Dragons at home and Ansan Greeners away, 2024–2026.
| Jeonnam Dragons | Ansan Greeners | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 53 | 53 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-16-17 | 11-16-26 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
Head to head
25 meetings in our database: Jeonnam Dragons won 10, 6 draws, Ansan Greeners won 9. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 25.04.2026: Ansan Greeners 2:1 Jeonnam Dragons
- 12.10.2025: Jeonnam Dragons 0:1 Ansan Greeners
- 23.08.2025: Jeonnam Dragons 2:0 Ansan Greeners
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 57% of Jeonnam Dragons home games and 42% of Ansan Greeners away games.
- Our model makes Jeonnam Dragons the favourite at 50%; a draw is 23%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.5 yellow cards: Jeonnam Dragons 1.6, Ansan Greeners 1.9; typical match of the competition — 3.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 28% (typical match — 31%).
Result
Our model: Jeonnam Dragons win 50%, draw 23%, Ansan Greeners win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 58%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Jeonnam Dragons | Ansan Greeners | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 38% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 42% |
| Both teams score | 64% | 47% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.5 | 3.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 28% | 28% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.