Xpect
Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC: prediction and statistics
Ecuador · Liga Pro · 11 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Delfin SC 5.0, Mushuc Runa SC 4.3. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Delfin SC 2.4, Mushuc Runa SC 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 50%, typical match 49%.
Result
Market line without margin: Delfin SC win 35%, draw 30%, Mushuc Runa SC win 35%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Delfin SC: last five matches — L-D-L-W-L.
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Mushuc Runa SC: last five matches — W-D-D-L-D.
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Delfin SC — 15, Mushuc Runa SC — 10 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Delfin SC at home and Mushuc Runa SC away, 2024–2026.
| Delfin SC | Mushuc Runa SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 50 | 49 |
| Win rate | 32% | 12% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 24% | 61% |
| Both teams score | 34% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | 8.8 | 9.8 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 38% | 48% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 48% | 51% |
Head to head
18 meetings in our database: Delfin SC won 8, 2 draws, Mushuc Runa SC won 8. Per match: 3.0 goals, 8.9 corners, 5.6 yellow cards.
- 28.08.2026: Mushuc Runa SC 1:0 Delfin SC
- 03.05.2026: Delfin SC 1:0 Mushuc Runa SC
- 15.06.2025: Delfin SC 3:1 Mushuc Runa SC
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our model expects 9.2 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 44%.
How many yellow cards in Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 50%.
Who is more likely to win Delfin SC vs Mushuc Runa SC?
Market line without margin: Delfin SC 35%, draw 30%, Mushuc Runa SC 35%.