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Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario: prediction and statistics

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 11 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

53%

Corners under 9.5

Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Manta FC 5.3, Tecnico Universitario 4.1. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 47% (typical match — 47%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 53%, typical match 53%.

Yellow cards

55%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Manta FC 2.6, Tecnico Universitario 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 55% (typical match — 51%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 55%, typical match 51%.

Result

Market line without margin: Manta FC win 42%, draw 30%, Tecnico Universitario win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.

Form

Manta FC: last five matches — L-L-W-D-W.

Tecnico Universitario: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.

Table: Manta FC — 16, Tecnico Universitario — 14 (of 16).

Team statistics for three seasons

Manta FC at home and Tecnico Universitario away, 2024–2026.

Manta FCTecnico Universitario
Matches3448
Win rate32%29%
Goals scored per match1.20.9
Goals conceded per match1.21.5
Over 2.5 goals41%44%
Both teams score50%40%
Total corners per match9.79.0
Over 9.5 corners52%40%
Total yellow cards per match4.15.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards36%56%

Head to head

22 meetings in our database: Manta FC won 9, 2 draws, Tecnico Universitario won 11. Per match: 2.7 goals, 8.8 corners, 5.2 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

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How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our model expects 9.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 47%.

How many yellow cards in Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 55%.

Who is more likely to win Manta FC vs Tecnico Universitario?

Market line without margin: Manta FC 42%, draw 30%, Tecnico Universitario 28%.

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