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Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario: prediction and statistics
Ecuador · Liga Pro · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Deportivo Cuenca · Tecnico Universitario
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.3 corners in the match: Deportivo Cuenca 6.2, Tecnico Universitario 3.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 47%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 54%, typical match 53%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards: Deportivo Cuenca 2.0, Tecnico Universitario 2.8; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 52% (typical match — 51%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 52%, typical match 51%.
Result
Our model: Deportivo Cuenca win 51%, draw 28%, Tecnico Universitario win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 34%, both teams to score — 38%.
Form
Deportivo Cuenca: last five matches — L-D-W-L-D.
- 5 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Tecnico Universitario: last five matches — L-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Deportivo Cuenca — 12, Tecnico Universitario — 14 (of 16).
Team statistics for three seasons
Deportivo Cuenca at home and Tecnico Universitario away, 2024–2026.
| Deportivo Cuenca | Tecnico Universitario | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 49 |
| Win rate | 35% | 29% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | 43% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 39% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 39% | 42% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 47% | 57% |
Head to head
20 meetings in our database: Deportivo Cuenca won 10, 5 draws, Tecnico Universitario won 5. Per match: 2.5 goals, 9.0 corners, 3.7 yellow cards.
- 29.08.2026: Tecnico Universitario 3:1 Deportivo Cuenca
- 02.05.2026: Deportivo Cuenca 2:1 Tecnico Universitario
- 14.09.2025: Tecnico Universitario 0:2 Deportivo Cuenca
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our model expects 9.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 46%.
How many yellow cards in Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our model expects 4.8 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 52%.
Who is more likely to win Deportivo Cuenca vs Tecnico Universitario?
Our model: Deportivo Cuenca 51%, draw 28%, Tecnico Universitario 20%.