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Dinamo Batumi vs Rustavi: prediction and statistics
Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Dinamo Batumi · Rustavi
Before kick-off
Dinamo Batumi host Rustavi in Erovnuli Liga on 21 November 2026. In the standings Dinamo Batumi are 1st and Rustavi 4th out of 10 teams.
Dinamo Batumi arrive in excellent form: 5 wins in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Rustavi are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Counted in points, Dinamo Batumi took 15 from that stretch and Rustavi only 10.
The home record of Dinamo Batumi (2024–2026) is balanced: 25 wins, 10 draws and 17 defeats in 52 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Away from home Rustavi have 5 wins, 8 draws and 4 defeats in 17 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.0 per game.
History favours Dinamo Batumi — 7 wins from 8 meetings with Rustavi. Last time out (4 September 2026) it ended Rustavi 0:1 Dinamo Batumi. On average these meetings produce 2.1 goals.
Form
Dinamo Batumi: last five matches — W-W-W-W-W.
- 14 matches unbeaten · at home
- 7 wins in a row · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Rustavi: last five matches — W-W-W-L-D.
Table: Dinamo Batumi — 1, Rustavi — 4 (of 10).
Home and away record
Dinamo Batumi at home and Rustavi away, 2024–2026.
| Dinamo Batumi | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 17 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 25-10-17 | 5-8-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Dinamo Batumi won 7, 0 draws, Rustavi won 1. Per match: 2.1 goals.
- 04.09.2026: Rustavi 0:1 Dinamo Batumi
- 25.05.2026: Dinamo Batumi 1:0 Rustavi
- 07.04.2026: Rustavi 3:0 Dinamo Batumi
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Dinamo Batumi should win the corner count: 5.4 expected against 4.0 for Rustavi.
- Dinamo Batumi has won 7 of the last 8 meetings with Rustavi.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 52% of Dinamo Batumi home games and 41% of Rustavi away games.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.4 corners in the match: Dinamo Batumi 5.4, Rustavi 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 46% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 59%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Dinamo Batumi 2.2, Rustavi 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 44% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 63%, typical match 63%.
Result
Our model: Dinamo Batumi win 46%, draw 25%, Rustavi win 29%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 54%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Dinamo Batumi | Rustavi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 48% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 41% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 10.6 | 8.9 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 69% | 38% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.9 | 3.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 44% | 41% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.0 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.