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Samgurali vs FC Iberia 1999: prediction and statistics
Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Samgurali · FC Iberia 1999
Before kick-off
Samgurali host FC Iberia 1999 in Erovnuli Liga on 21 November 2026. In the standings Samgurali are 7th and FC Iberia 1999 2nd out of 10 teams. FC Iberia 1999 are part of the leading group.
Samgurali have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for FC Iberia 1999: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 7 and 7.
The home record of Samgurali (2024–2026) is balanced: 22 wins, 11 draws and 19 defeats in 52 matches, 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. On the road FC Iberia 1999 are a dangerous side — 34 wins, 5 draws and 13 defeats in 52 away matches, 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
History favours FC Iberia 1999 — 19 wins from 31 meetings with Samgurali. Last time out (5 September 2026) it ended FC Iberia 1999 2:1 Samgurali. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
Samgurali: last five matches — L-L-W-W-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
FC Iberia 1999: last five matches — W-L-W-D-L.
- 5 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · away
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: Samgurali — 7, FC Iberia 1999 — 2 (of 10).
Home and away record
Samgurali at home and FC Iberia 1999 away, 2024–2026.
| Samgurali | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 52 | 52 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 22-11-19 | 34-5-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Head to head
31 meetings in our database: Samgurali won 6, 6 draws, FC Iberia 1999 won 19. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 05.09.2026: FC Iberia 1999 2:1 Samgurali
- 25.05.2026: Samgurali 3:2 FC Iberia 1999
- 07.04.2026: FC Iberia 1999 2:1 Samgurali
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- FC Iberia 1999 has won 19 of the last 31 meetings with Samgurali.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 56% of Samgurali home games and 56% of FC Iberia 1999 away games.
- Our model makes FC Iberia 1999 the favourite at 55%; a draw is 23%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.2 corners in the match: Samgurali 5.0, FC Iberia 1999 4.2. In a typical match of this competition — 9.2. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 44% (typical match — 43%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 57%, typical match 56%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.7 yellow cards: Samgurali 2.2, FC Iberia 1999 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.3. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 50% (typical match — 44%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 68%, typical match 63%.
Result
Our model: Samgurali win 22%, draw 23%, FC Iberia 1999 win 55%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Samgurali | FC Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 42% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 46% |
| Total corners per match | 9.2 | 9.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 44% | 40% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 52% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.2 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.