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Esbjerg vs AB Copenhagen: prediction and statistics
Denmark · 1. Division · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Esbjerg · AB Copenhagen
Before kick-off
Esbjerg host AB Copenhagen in 1. Division on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: AB Copenhagen are 4th of 12, Esbjerg 10th — a gap of 6 places. Esbjerg are in the bottom three.
Esbjerg have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. An uneven run for AB Copenhagen: 2 wins and 3 defeats from the last 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 6 and 6.
The home record of Esbjerg (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 16 wins, 9 draws and 14 defeats in 39 matches, 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Away from home AB Copenhagen have 2 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in 7 matches, scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 per game.
The 12 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Esbjerg 7, AB Copenhagen 3, draws 2. Last time out (19 September 2026) it ended AB Copenhagen 3:0 Esbjerg. On average these meetings produce 2.9 goals.
Form
Esbjerg: last five matches — D-D-W-L-D.
- 13 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
AB Copenhagen: last five matches — W-L-L-W-L.
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Esbjerg — 10, AB Copenhagen — 4 (of 12).
Home and away record
Esbjerg at home and AB Copenhagen away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Esbjerg | AB Copenhagen | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 7 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-9-14 | 2-1-4 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.6 |
Head to head
12 meetings in our database: Esbjerg won 7, 2 draws, AB Copenhagen won 3. Per match: 2.9 goals.
- 19.09.2026: AB Copenhagen 3:0 Esbjerg
- 31.05.2024: Esbjerg 6:0 AB Copenhagen
- 14.04.2024: AB Copenhagen 2:1 Esbjerg
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of Esbjerg home games and 71% of AB Copenhagen away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 3.2 yellow cards: Esbjerg 1.7, AB Copenhagen 1.5; typical match of the competition — 3.6. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 22% (typical match — 29%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 3.5 — 61%, typical match 52%.
Result
Our model: Esbjerg win 31%, draw 23%, AB Copenhagen win 46%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 62%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Esbjerg | AB Copenhagen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 41% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 71% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 2.6 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 10% | 57% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 0.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.