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Fatih Karagümrük vs Boluspor: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · 1. Lig · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Fatih Karagümrük · Boluspor
Before kick-off
1. Lig, 21 November 2026: Fatih Karagümrük are at home to Boluspor. Fatih Karagümrük sit 9th in the 20-team table while Boluspor are 20th, so 11 places separate the two sides. Boluspor are in the bottom three.
The last 5 games brought Fatih Karagümrük no victory — 3 draws and 2 defeats. Results have gone against Boluspor recently — 1 win and 4 defeats from the last 5 games. In points that is almost level: 3 against 3.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Fatih Karagümrük have 13 wins, 9 draws and 5 defeats in 27 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. The away record of Boluspor: 13 wins, 11 draws and 22 defeats in 46 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 4 meetings — wins: Fatih Karagümrük 2, Boluspor 1; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2025, finished Boluspor 1:0 Fatih Karagümrük. On average these meetings produce 2.8 goals.
Form
Fatih Karagümrük: last five matches — D-D-L-D-L.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Boluspor: last five matches — L-L-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Fatih Karagümrük — 9, Boluspor — 20 (of 20).
Home and away record
Fatih Karagümrük at home and Boluspor away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Fatih Karagümrük | Boluspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 27 | 46 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 13-9-5 | 13-11-22 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.7 |
Head to head
4 meetings in our database: Fatih Karagümrük won 2, 1 draws, Boluspor won 1. Per match: 2.8 goals.
- 19.04.2025: Boluspor 1:0 Fatih Karagümrük
- 14.12.2024: Fatih Karagümrük 2:2 Boluspor
- 06.07.2020: Fatih Karagümrük 3:1 Boluspor
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 37% of Fatih Karagümrük’s home matches and 44% of Boluspor’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Fatih Karagümrük: 5.1 against 3.4 for Boluspor.
- Fatih Karagümrük is the more likely winner in our model: 76%, draw 17%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.5 corners in the match: Fatih Karagümrük 5.1, Boluspor 3.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 35% (typical match — 41%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 8.5 — 52%, typical match 45%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: Fatih Karagümrük 2.1, Boluspor 2.5; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Fatih Karagümrük win 76%, draw 17%, Boluspor win 7%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 34%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Fatih Karagümrük | Boluspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 48% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 44% |
| Both teams score | 52% | 54% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 8.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 42% | 41% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 56% | 50% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 12.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.