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İstanbulspor vs Keçiörengücü: prediction and statistics
Türkiye · 1. Lig · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: İstanbulspor · Keçiörengücü
Before kick-off
İstanbulspor host Keçiörengücü in 1. Lig on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Keçiörengücü are 6th of 20, İstanbulspor 19th — a gap of 13 places. İstanbulspor are in the bottom three.
İstanbulspor are still looking for a win: 1 draw and 4 defeats in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Keçiörengücü are mostly positive — 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat from 5 games. Counted in points, Keçiörengücü took 10 from that stretch and İstanbulspor only 1.
The home record of İstanbulspor (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 20 wins, 11 draws and 14 defeats in 45 matches, 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game. Away from home Keçiörengücü have 18 wins, 12 draws and 16 defeats in 46 matches, scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.4 per game.
Draws are a feature of this pairing — 8 in 16 meetings. Last time out (19 January 2026) it ended İstanbulspor 2:2 Keçiörengücü. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
İstanbulspor: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · at home
- 4 losses in a row · at home
Keçiörengücü: last five matches — D-W-W-W-L.
- 6 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 9.5 corners · all competitions
Table: İstanbulspor — 19, Keçiörengücü — 6 (of 20).
Home and away record
İstanbulspor at home and Keçiörengücü away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| İstanbulspor | Keçiörengücü | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 45 | 46 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 20-11-14 | 18-12-16 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.9 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: İstanbulspor won 2, 8 draws, Keçiörengücü won 6. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 19.01.2026: İstanbulspor 2:2 Keçiörengücü
- 16.08.2025: Keçiörengücü 0:0 İstanbulspor
- 12.04.2025: İstanbulspor 0:2 Keçiörengücü
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- 8 of the 16 meetings between these teams ended in a draw.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 62% of İstanbulspor home games and 46% of Keçiörengücü away games.
- Our model makes Keçiörengücü the favourite at 55%; a draw is 23%.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 8.8 corners in the match: İstanbulspor 4.3, Keçiörengücü 4.5. In a typical match of this competition — 9.0. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 39% (typical match — 41%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 61%, typical match 59%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.5 yellow cards: İstanbulspor 2.3, Keçiörengücü 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 47% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 53%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: İstanbulspor win 22%, draw 23%, Keçiörengücü win 55%. Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| İstanbulspor | Keçiörengücü | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 44% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 8.6 | 8.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 31% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.3 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 24% | 47% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 9.7 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.