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FC Liefering vs Wacker Innsbruck: prediction and statistics

Austria · 2. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off

Before kick-off

FC Liefering host Wacker Innsbruck in 2. Liga on 21 November 2026. In the standings FC Liefering are 4th and Wacker Innsbruck 7th out of 16 teams.

FC Liefering have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. Recent results of Wacker Innsbruck are mostly positive — 3 wins and 2 defeats from 5 games. Measured in points the two runs are close — 8 and 9.

The home record of FC Liefering (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 18 wins, 7 draws and 11 defeats in 36 matches, 1.9 scored and 1.5 conceded per game. Away from home Wacker Innsbruck have 3 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 7 matches, scoring 1.1 and conceding 1.6 per game.

The 22 previous meetings are fairly balanced — FC Liefering 9, Wacker Innsbruck 8, draws 5. Last time out (8 April 2022) it ended FC Liefering 0:1 Wacker Innsbruck. On average these meetings produce 2.6 goals.

Form

FC Liefering: last five matches — L-W-D-D-W.

Wacker Innsbruck: last five matches — W-W-L-W-L.

Table: FC Liefering — 4, Wacker Innsbruck — 7 (of 16).

Home and away record

FC Liefering at home and Wacker Innsbruck away, 2024/25–2026/27.

FC LieferingWacker Innsbruck
Matches367
Wins · draws · losses18-7-113-1-3
Goals scored per match1.91.1
Goals conceded per match1.51.6

Head to head

22 meetings in our database: FC Liefering won 9, 5 draws, Wacker Innsbruck won 8. Per match: 2.6 goals.

🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription

Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.

Key facts

  • Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 69% of FC Liefering home games and 57% of Wacker Innsbruck away games.
  • Our model sees an open game: FC Liefering 37%, draw 23%, Wacker Innsbruck 40%.

Yellow cards

52%

Yellow cards under 4.5

Our model expects 4.6 yellow cards: FC Liefering 2.5, Wacker Innsbruck 2.1; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 48% (typical match — 48%).

Result

Our model: FC Liefering win 37%, draw 23%, Wacker Innsbruck win 40%. Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 67%.

Team statistics for three seasons

FC LieferingWacker Innsbruck
Win rate50%43%
Over 2.5 goals69%57%
Both teams score64%43%
Total corners per match10.6—
Over 9.5 corners57%—
Total yellow cards per match4.54.7
Over 4.5 yellow cards53%43%

Head to head

Corners in their meetings: 10.4 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 3.4 per match on average.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Other matches

Full prediction