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Sturm Graz II vs SKU Amstetten: prediction and statistics
Austria · 2. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sturm Graz II · SKU Amstetten
Before kick-off
2. Liga, 21 November 2026: Sturm Graz II are at home to SKU Amstetten. Sturm Graz II go into the match 12th of 16 in the table, SKU Amstetten are 8th.
An uneven run for Sturm Graz II: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. SKU Amstetten have blown hot and cold: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches.
Sturm Graz II have not made their ground a fortress: 11 wins, 8 draws and 17 defeats in 36 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game. The away record of SKU Amstetten: 11 wins, 11 draws and 13 defeats in 35 matches, with 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 8 meetings — wins: Sturm Graz II 4, SKU Amstetten 3; draws: 1. The most recent meeting, on 6 December 2025, finished Sturm Graz II 3:3 SKU Amstetten. On average these meetings produce 4.2 goals.
Form
Sturm Graz II: last five matches — L-W-D-L-W.
SKU Amstetten: last five matches — L-W-D-D-L.
- 3 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Sturm Graz II — 12, SKU Amstetten — 8 (of 16).
Home and away record
Sturm Graz II at home and SKU Amstetten away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sturm Graz II | SKU Amstetten | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 36 | 35 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 11-8-17 | 11-11-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.5 |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Sturm Graz II won 4, 1 draws, SKU Amstetten won 3. Per match: 4.2 goals.
- 06.12.2025: Sturm Graz II 3:3 SKU Amstetten
- 01.08.2025: SKU Amstetten 2:0 Sturm Graz II
- 08.03.2025: Sturm Graz II 2:1 SKU Amstetten
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 35% – 24% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 53% of Sturm Graz II’s home matches and 54% of SKU Amstetten’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Sturm Graz II 2.2, SKU Amstetten 2.2; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 48%).
Result
Our model: Sturm Graz II win 35%, draw 24%, SKU Amstetten win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 61%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sturm Graz II | SKU Amstetten | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 31% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 53% | 57% |
| Total corners per match | — | 8.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 36% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 58% | 51% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 5.8 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.