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First Vienna vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: prediction and statistics
Austria · 2. Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: First Vienna · Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Before kick-off
First Vienna host Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz in 2. Liga on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: First Vienna are 2nd of 16, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 9th — a gap of 7 places. First Vienna are in the top three.
First Vienna have been solid lately: 3 wins and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats. Counted in points, First Vienna took 9 from that stretch and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz only 2.
The home record of First Vienna (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 19 wins, 3 draws and 13 defeats in 35 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game. Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz find it hard on the road: 4 wins, 9 draws and 23 defeats in 36 away matches, 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game.
History favours Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — 4 wins from 6 meetings with First Vienna. Last time out (14 May 2026) it ended First Vienna 2:0 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz. On average these meetings produce 3.0 goals.
Form
First Vienna: last five matches — W-W-W-L-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz: last five matches — D-L-L-L-D.
- 8 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
Table: First Vienna — 2, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz — 9 (of 16).
Home and away record
First Vienna at home and Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| First Vienna | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 35 | 36 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 19-3-13 | 4-9-23 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 2.2 |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: First Vienna won 2, 0 draws, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz won 4. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 14.05.2026: First Vienna 2:0 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
- 30.11.2025: Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 3:0 First Vienna
- 11.04.2025: First Vienna 2:1 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz has won 4 of the last 6 meetings with First Vienna.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 54% of First Vienna home games and 69% of Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz away games.
- Our model makes First Vienna the favourite at 54%; a draw is 23%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: First Vienna 2.2, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 48%).
Result
Our model: First Vienna win 54%, draw 23%, Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| First Vienna | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 54% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 69% |
| Both teams score | 46% | 69% |
| Total corners per match | 10.1 | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | 55% | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.9 | 4.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 46% | 39% |
Head to head
Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.3 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.