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Hannover 96 vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction and statistics
Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Hannover 96 · SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Before kick-off
Hannover 96 host SpVgg Greuther Fürth in 2. Bundesliga on 21 November 2026. Very little separates them in the standings — Hannover 96 are 11th, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 10th in a table of 18.
Hannover 96 have been solid lately: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought SpVgg Greuther Fürth no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats. Counted in points, Hannover 96 took 10 from that stretch and SpVgg Greuther Fürth only 1.
The home record of Hannover 96 (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 17 wins, 15 draws and 7 defeats in 39 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.1 conceded per game. SpVgg Greuther Fürth find it hard on the road: 9 wins, 8 draws and 24 defeats in 41 away matches, 1.2 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per game.
The 16 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Hannover 96 7, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4, draws 5. Last time out (8 March 2026) it ended Hannover 96 1:2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. On average these meetings produce 3.3 goals.
Form
Hannover 96: last five matches — W-D-L-W-W.
- 3 matches unbeaten · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
SpVgg Greuther Fürth: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 4 losses in a row · away
Table: Hannover 96 — 11, SpVgg Greuther Fürth — 10 (of 18).
Home and away record
Hannover 96 at home and SpVgg Greuther Fürth away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Hannover 96 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 39 | 41 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 17-15-7 | 9-8-24 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.9 |
Head to head
16 meetings in our database: Hannover 96 won 7, 5 draws, SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 4. Per match: 3.3 goals.
- 08.03.2026: Hannover 96 1:2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 05.10.2025: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2:2 Hannover 96
- 11.05.2025: Hannover 96 1:1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Our model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 55%; a draw is 22%.
- Hannover 96 should win the corner count: 6.0 expected against 4.8 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth.
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 51% of Hannover 96 home games and 63% of SpVgg Greuther Fürth away games.
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.8 corners in the match: Hannover 96 6.0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.1. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 64% (typical match — 55%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 10.5 — 51%, typical match 43%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Hannover 96 2.0, SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2.0; typical match of the competition — 4.4. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 45%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 63%, typical match 56%.
Result
Our model: Hannover 96 win 55%, draw 22%, SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 60%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Hannover 96 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 44% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 63% |
| Both teams score | 62% | 59% |
| Total corners per match | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 54% | 56% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.7 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 51% | 42% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.3 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.5 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.