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Londrina vs Cuiaba: prediction and statistics
Brazil · Serie B · 20 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners over 9.5
Our model expects 10.4 corners in the match: Londrina 5.5, Cuiaba 4.9. In a typical match of this competition — 10.3. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 60% (typical match — 58%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 9.5 — 60%, typical match 58%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Londrina 2.1, Cuiaba 2.3; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 54%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 56%, typical match 46%.
Result
Our model: Londrina win 44%, draw 28%, Cuiaba win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 46%.
Form
Londrina: last five matches — D-L-W-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · all competitions
- 4 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · at home
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Cuiaba: last five matches — W-L-D-L-D.
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 3 matches in a row over 9.5 corners · away
Table: Londrina — 18, Cuiaba — 11 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Londrina at home and Cuiaba away, 2024–2026.
| Londrina | Cuiaba | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 16 | 35 |
| Win rate | 25% | 17% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 31% |
| Both teams score | 44% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 11.4 | 9.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 94% | 49% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 25% | 51% |
Head to head
3 meetings in our database: Londrina won 2, 1 draws, Cuiaba won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals, 8.7 corners, 7.7 yellow cards.
- 25.06.2026: Cuiaba 2:2 Londrina
- 05.10.2019: Cuiaba 0:1 Londrina
- 07.06.2019: Londrina 1:0 Cuiaba
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Londrina vs Cuiaba?
Our model expects 10.4 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 60%.
How many yellow cards in Londrina vs Cuiaba?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 45%.
Who is more likely to win Londrina vs Cuiaba?
Our model: Londrina 44%, draw 28%, Cuiaba 28%.