XpectXpect

Mirassol vs Internacional: prediction and statistics

Brazil · Serie A · 16 October 2026 · kick-off

Corners

58%

Corners over 9.5

Our model expects 10.3 corners in the match: Mirassol 5.5, Internacional 4.8. In a typical match of this competition — 10.4. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 58% (typical match — 59%).

This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 10.5 — 54%, typical match 54%.

Yellow cards

54%

Yellow cards over 4.5

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards: Mirassol 2.5, Internacional 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 54% (typical match — 55%).

This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 72%, typical match 72%.

Result

Market line without margin: Mirassol win 41%, draw 28%, Internacional win 31%. Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 55%.

Form

Mirassol: last five matches — D-L-D-D-W.

Internacional: last five matches — D-L-L-W-L.

Table: Mirassol — 15, Internacional — 17 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Mirassol at home and Internacional away, 2024–2026.

MirassolInternacional
Matches3452
Win rate53%25%
Goals scored per match1.91.0
Goals conceded per match1.11.5
Over 2.5 goals62%46%
Both teams score71%58%
Total corners per match10.69.0
Over 9.5 corners41%46%
Total yellow cards per match4.65.0
Over 4.5 yellow cards53%58%

Head to head

3 meetings in our database: Mirassol won 2, 1 draws, Internacional won 0. Per match: 3.0 goals, 10.0 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

All numbers in the Xpect app

Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.

Coming soon to the App Store and Google PlayAbout the app

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

How many corners in Mirassol vs Internacional?

Our model expects 10.3 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 58%.

How many yellow cards in Mirassol vs Internacional?

Our model expects 4.9 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 54%.

Who is more likely to win Mirassol vs Internacional?

Market line without margin: Mirassol 41%, draw 28%, Internacional 31%.

Other matches