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Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital: prediction and statistics
Portugal · Taça de Portugal · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Olhanense · Oliveira Hospital
Result
Our model: Olhanense win 13%, draw 21%, Oliveira Hospital win 66%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 42%.
Form
Olhanense: last five matches — W-L-L-L-W.
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Oliveira Hospital: last five matches — W-D-L-W-W.
- 6 wins in a row · all competitions
- 6 matches unbeaten · all competitions
Team statistics for three seasons
Olhanense at home and Oliveira Hospital away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Olhanense | Oliveira Hospital | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| Win rate | 100% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.0 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
| Both teams score | 0% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 0% |
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Olhanense vs Oliveira Hospital?
Our model: Olhanense 13%, draw 21%, Oliveira Hospital 66%.