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Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka: prediction and statistics
Europe · Conference League · 15 October 2026 · kick-off
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.6 corners in the match: Panathinaikos 7.2, Borac Banja Luka 2.4. In a typical match of this competition — 9.5. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 49% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners over 8.5 — 62%, typical match 61%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards: Panathinaikos 2.6, Borac Banja Luka 2.7; typical match of the competition — 4.7. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 62% (typical match — 50%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 62%, typical match 50%.
Result
Our model: Panathinaikos win 79%, draw 15%, Borac Banja Luka win 6%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 35%.
European cups
Seasons 2025/26 and 2026/27 — the new format
Panathinaikos
All 24: 10W · 10D · 4L · goals 37:34
Home 12: 3W · 8D · 1L · goals 15:13
- 27.08.26 · UECL · Hradec Králové (a) 2:1
- 20.08.26 · UECL · Hradec Králové (h) 2:2
- 11.08.26 · UECL · CSKA 1948 (a) 2:1
- 05.08.26 · UECL · CSKA 1948 (h) 1:1
- 30.07.26 · UECL · Paks (h) 2:2
League · Super League 2026/27: 1 of 14 · 5W · 0D · 1L · goals 12:3. Greece — 12 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 45.0).
Borac Banja Luka
All 10: 6W · 2D · 2L · goals 22:18
Away 5: 3W · 1D · 1L · goals 13:12
- 27.08.26 · UECL · Vikingur Reykjavik (h) 3:1
- 20.08.26 · UECL · Vikingur Reykjavik (a) 3:1
- 13.08.26 · UECL · ML Vitebsk (a) 5:4
- 06.08.26 · UECL · ML Vitebsk (h) 1:0
- 30.07.26 · UECL · Petrocub (a) 3:3
League · Premijer Liga 2026/27: 2 of 10 · 7W · 1D · 1L · goals 17:7. Bosnia and Herzegovina — 35 in the UEFA country ranking (coefficient 14.0).
Head to head in Europe
- 03.10.24 · UECL · Borac Banja Luka 1:1 Panathinaikos
Champions League, Europa League and Conference League, qualifiers included — the two seasons of the new format. Corners and cards from matches where they are recorded.
Form
Panathinaikos: last five matches — D-W-W-W-W.
- 10 matches unbeaten · at home
- 4 wins in a row · at home
- 4 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Borac Banja Luka: last five matches — .
Team statistics for three seasons
Panathinaikos at home and Borac Banja Luka away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Panathinaikos | Borac Banja Luka | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 9 | 9 |
| Win rate | 56% | 44% |
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 56% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | 11.9 | 10.5 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 89% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.7 | 5.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 22% | 50% |
Head to head
1 meetings in our database: Panathinaikos won 0, 1 draws, Borac Banja Luka won 0. Per match: 2.0 goals, 11.0 corners, 6.0 yellow cards.
- 03.10.2024: Borac Banja Luka 1:1 Panathinaikos
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many corners in Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our model expects 9.6 corners; the probability of over 9.5 is 49%.
How many yellow cards in Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our model expects 5.3 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 62%.
Who is more likely to win Panathinaikos vs Borac Banja Luka?
Our model: Panathinaikos 79%, draw 15%, Borac Banja Luka 6%.