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Queen's Park vs Livingston: prediction and statistics
Scotland · Championship · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Queen's Park · Livingston
Before kick-off
Queen's Park host Livingston in Championship on 21 November 2026. In the standings Queen's Park are 10th and Livingston 5th out of 10 teams. Queen's Park are in the bottom three.
Queen's Park have blown hot and cold: 2 wins and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Few sides are in better shape than Livingston right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Counted in points, Livingston took 11 from that stretch and Queen's Park only 6.
Home matches have been a struggle for Queen's Park (2024/25–2026/27) — 12 wins, 9 draws and 22 defeats in 43 games, scoring 0.9 and conceding 1.4 on average. On the road Livingston are a dangerous side — 11 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats in 25 away matches, 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded per game. Both samples are low on goals: 2.3 per game in home matches of Queen's Park and 2.3 in away matches of Livingston.
The 11 previous meetings are fairly balanced — Queen's Park 3, Livingston 5, draws 3. Last time out (1 August 2026) it ended Livingston 2:0 Queen's Park. On average these meetings produce 2.5 goals.
Form
Queen's Park: last five matches — W-L-W-L-L.
- 6 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Livingston: last five matches — W-D-W-W-D.
- 6 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · away
- 3 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
Table: Queen's Park — 10, Livingston — 5 (of 10).
Home and away record
Queen's Park at home and Livingston away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Queen's Park | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 25 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 12-9-22 | 11-8-6 |
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Head to head
11 meetings in our database: Queen's Park won 3, 3 draws, Livingston won 5. Per match: 2.5 goals.
- 01.08.2026: Livingston 2:0 Queen's Park
- 05.04.2025: Livingston 3:0 Queen's Park
- 30.03.2025: Queen's Park 0:5 Livingston
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 40% of Queen's Park home games and 48% of Livingston away games.
- Our model makes Livingston the favourite at 60%; a draw is 24%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.3 yellow cards: Queen's Park 1.9, Livingston 2.4; typical match of the competition — 3.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 35%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 62%, typical match 55%.
Result
Our model: Queen's Park win 16%, draw 24%, Livingston win 60%. Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 42%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Queen's Park | Livingston | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 28% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 48% |
| Both teams score | 47% | 44% |
| Total corners per match | 9.9 | 9.3 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 45% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.1 | 4.6 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 42% | 48% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 10.6 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 2.1 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.