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Raith Rovers vs Partick: prediction and statistics
Scotland · Championship · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Raith Rovers · Partick
Before kick-off
Championship, 21 November 2026: Raith Rovers are at home to Partick. They are neighbours in the table: Raith Rovers are 3rd and Partick 1st of 10. Both sides are in the top three.
An uneven run for Raith Rovers: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Partick arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. On points from those games the gap is clear: 13 for Partick against 7 for Raith Rovers.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Raith Rovers have 22 wins, 9 draws and 12 defeats in 43 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The away record of Partick: 16 wins, 13 draws and 14 defeats in 43 matches, with 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 35 meetings — wins: Raith Rovers 14, Partick 8; draws: 13. The most recent meeting, on 19 September 2026, finished Partick 0:0 Raith Rovers. On average these meetings produce 2.2 goals.
Form
Raith Rovers: last five matches — W-L-W-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
- 4 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 3 matches without a win · all competitions
Partick: last five matches — W-W-D-W-W.
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 3 wins in a row · all competitions
Table: Raith Rovers — 3, Partick — 1 (of 10).
Home and away record
Raith Rovers at home and Partick away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Raith Rovers | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 43 | 43 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 22-9-12 | 16-13-14 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
Head to head
35 meetings in our database: Raith Rovers won 14, 13 draws, Partick won 8. Per match: 2.2 goals.
- 19.09.2026: Partick 0:0 Raith Rovers
- 24.03.2026: Raith Rovers 0:2 Partick
- 20.12.2025: Partick 0:0 Raith Rovers
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 31% – 28% – 41%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 37% of Raith Rovers’s home matches and 37% of Partick’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.2 yellow cards: Raith Rovers 2.1, Partick 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.9. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 42% (typical match — 35%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 61%, typical match 55%.
Result
Our model: Raith Rovers win 31%, draw 28%, Partick win 41%. Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 47%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Raith Rovers | Partick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 51% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 37% |
| Both teams score | 35% | 49% |
| Total corners per match | 8.2 | 10.1 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 35% | 50% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 3.8 | 4.4 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 35% | 44% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.8 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 4.6 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.