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Sant Andreu vs Atlético Madrid II: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sant Andreu · Atlético Madrid II
Before kick-off
Sant Andreu host Atlético Madrid II in Primera Federación – Grupo 2 on 21 November 2026. In the table there is clear daylight between them: Sant Andreu are 10th of 20, Atlético Madrid II 16th — a gap of 6 places.
Sant Andreu are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 2 wins and 3 draws. Atlético Madrid II are in a difficult spell: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in the last 5 matches. Counted in points, Sant Andreu took 9 from that stretch and Atlético Madrid II only 4.
The home record of Sant Andreu (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in 6 matches, 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game. Away from home Atlético Madrid II have 13 wins, 12 draws and 18 defeats in 43 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.4 per game.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Sant Andreu: last five matches — W-D-D-D-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Atlético Madrid II: last five matches — W-D-L-L-L.
- 8 matches without a win · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 7 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Table: Sant Andreu — 10, Atlético Madrid II — 16 (of 20).
Home and away record
Sant Andreu at home and Atlético Madrid II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sant Andreu | Atlético Madrid II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 43 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 2-3-1 | 13-12-18 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 33% of Sant Andreu home games and 49% of Atlético Madrid II away games.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.8 yellow cards: Sant Andreu 2.8, Atlético Madrid II 3.0; typical match of the competition — 5.1. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 69% (typical match — 57%).
Result
Our model: Sant Andreu win 47%, draw 24%, Atlético Madrid II win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sant Andreu | Atlético Madrid II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 33% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 49% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 58% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.3 | 6.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 67% | 79% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.