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Sevilla vs Real Betis: prediction and statistics
Spain · La Liga · 21 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Sevilla · Real Betis
Before kick-off
La Liga, 21 November 2026: Sevilla are at home to Real Betis. They are neighbours in the table: Sevilla are 6th and Real Betis 4th of 20.
An uneven run for Sevilla: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from the last 5 games. Real Betis have been solid lately: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in the last 5 matches. In points that is almost level: 7 against 8.
At home (2024/25–2026/27) Sevilla have 16 wins, 11 draws and 17 defeats in 44 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. The away record of Real Betis: 15 wins, 16 draws and 13 defeats in 44 matches, with 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average.
Head to head there is no clear master over 56 meetings — wins: Sevilla 23, Real Betis 13; draws: 20. The most recent meeting, on 1 March 2026, finished Real Betis 2:2 Sevilla. On average these meetings produce 2.4 goals.
Form
Sevilla: last five matches — W-L-L-W-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
Real Betis: last five matches — D-D-L-W-W.
Table: Sevilla — 6, Real Betis — 4 (of 20).
Home and away record
Sevilla at home and Real Betis away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Sevilla | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 44 | 44 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 16-11-17 | 15-16-13 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Head to head
56 meetings in our database: Sevilla won 23, 20 draws, Real Betis won 13. Per match: 2.4 goals.
- 01.03.2026: Real Betis 2:2 Sevilla
- 30.11.2025: Sevilla 0:2 Real Betis
- 30.03.2025: Real Betis 2:1 Sevilla
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- No clear favourite in our model: 33% – 26% – 42%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 41% of Sevilla’s home matches and 50% of Real Betis’s away matches over three seasons.
- Our model expects more corners from Sevilla: 5.1 against 4.0 for Real Betis.
Corners
Corners under 9.5
Our model expects 9.1 corners in the match: Sevilla 5.1, Real Betis 4.0. In a typical match of this competition — 9.6. Probability of over 9.5 corners: 43% (typical match — 49%).
This match is in the top of the day: Corners under 9.5 — 57%, typical match 51%.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Sevilla 2.4, Real Betis 2.0; typical match of the competition — 5.0. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 46% (typical match — 56%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards under 4.5 — 54%, typical match 44%.
Result
Our model: Sevilla win 33%, draw 26%, Real Betis win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Sevilla | Real Betis | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 36% | 34% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 55% | 71% |
| Total corners per match | 8.5 | 10.2 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 66% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 5.6 | 4.0 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 57% | 41% |
Head to head
Corners in their meetings: 8.9 per match on average. Yellow cards in their meetings: 6.7 per match on average.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.