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Alcorcon vs Huesca: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 16 October 2026 · kick-off
Result
Our model: Alcorcon win 53%, draw 25%, Huesca win 23%. Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 50%.
Form
Alcorcon: last five matches — W-D-D-W-W.
- 6 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row without both teams scoring · at home
Huesca: last five matches — W-D-D-D-D.
- 7 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches without a win · away
- 4 matches in a row both teams scored · away
Table: Alcorcon — 5, Huesca — 9 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Alcorcon at home and Huesca away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Alcorcon | Huesca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 41 | 3 |
| Win rate | 46% | 0% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 1.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 56% | 100% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
10 meetings in our database: Alcorcon won 2, 4 draws, Huesca won 4. Per match: 1.4 goals, 8.8 corners, 5.0 yellow cards.
- 03.02.2024: Huesca 1:0 Alcorcon
- 23.09.2023: Alcorcon 0:2 Huesca
- 13.03.2022: Alcorcon 1:0 Huesca
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Alcorcon vs Huesca?
Our model: Alcorcon 53%, draw 25%, Huesca 23%.