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Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II: prediction and statistics
Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Gimnastic · Atlético Madrid II
Result
Our model: Gimnastic win 33%, draw 26%, Atlético Madrid II win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 55%.
Form
Gimnastic: last five matches — D-D-W-W-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
Atlético Madrid II: last five matches — D-L-W-D-L.
- 4 matches without a win · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 3 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
Table: Gimnastic — 14, Atlético Madrid II — 11 (of 20).
Team statistics for three seasons
Gimnastic at home and Atlético Madrid II away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Gimnastic | Atlético Madrid II | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 22 | 41 |
| Win rate | 55% | 32% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 46% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 56% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | — | — |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | — | — |
Head to head
2 meetings in our database: Gimnastic won 1, 0 draws, Atlético Madrid II won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.
- 21.02.2026: Atlético Madrid II 1:2 Gimnastic
- 02.11.2025: Gimnastic 0:3 Atlético Madrid II
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
Who is more likely to win Gimnastic vs Atlético Madrid II?
Our model: Gimnastic 33%, draw 26%, Atlético Madrid II 42%.