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FC Cartagena vs Europa Fc: prediction and statistics

Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 16 October 2026 · kick-off

Result

Our model: FC Cartagena win 57%, draw 24%, Europa Fc win 20%. Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 48%.

Form

FC Cartagena: last five matches — D-W-D-W-W.

Europa Fc: last five matches — L-D-D-L-L.

Table: FC Cartagena — 6, Europa Fc — 16 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

FC Cartagena at home and Europa Fc away, 2024/25–2026/27.

FC CartagenaEuropa Fc
Matches2222
Win rate59%32%
Goals scored per match1.41.1
Goals conceded per match0.81.4
Over 2.5 goals46%50%
Both teams score36%46%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match——
Over 4.5 yellow cards——

Head to head

2 meetings in our database: FC Cartagena won 0, 1 draws, Europa Fc won 1. Per match: 3.0 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win FC Cartagena vs Europa Fc?

Our model: FC Cartagena 57%, draw 24%, Europa Fc 20%.

Other matches

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