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Real Madrid II vs Antequera: prediction and statistics

Spain · Primera Federación – Grupo 2 · 18 October 2026 · kick-off

Result

Our model: Real Madrid II win 50%, draw 24%, Antequera win 26%. Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.

Form

Real Madrid II: last five matches — D-L-W-L-W.

Antequera: last five matches — L-W-L-D-D.

Table: Real Madrid II — 12, Antequera — 8 (of 20).

Team statistics for three seasons

Real Madrid II at home and Antequera away, 2024/25–2026/27.

Real Madrid IIAntequera
Matches2241
Win rate50%32%
Goals scored per match1.81.1
Goals conceded per match0.81.2
Over 2.5 goals46%37%
Both teams score50%54%
Total corners per match——
Over 9.5 corners——
Total yellow cards per match——
Over 4.5 yellow cards——

Head to head

4 meetings in our database: Real Madrid II won 1, 2 draws, Antequera won 1. Per match: 1.5 goals.

Referee

The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.

How we calculate

Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.

Questions and answers

Who is more likely to win Real Madrid II vs Antequera?

Our model: Real Madrid II 50%, draw 24%, Antequera 26%.

Other matches

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