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Alcoyano vs Mallorca: prediction and statistics
Spain · Copa del Rey · 18 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Alcoyano · Mallorca
Before kick-off
Copa del Rey, 18 November 2026: Alcoyano are at home to Mallorca.
Few sides are in better shape than Alcoyano right now — 3 wins and 2 draws from the last 5 games. Mallorca are unbeaten in the last 5 matches: 1 win and 4 draws.
Alcoyano are hard to beat on their own ground — 3 wins and 3 draws in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), with 1.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game. The away record of Mallorca: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in 6 matches, with 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Alcoyano: last five matches — W-D-W-W-D.
- 13 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
- 8 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · at home
- 5 matches unbeaten · at home
Mallorca: last five matches — D-W-D-D-D.
- 7 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · away
- 5 matches unbeaten · away
- 4 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · away
Home and away record
Alcoyano at home and Mallorca away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Alcoyano | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 3-3-0 | 2-2-2 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.3 | 1.3 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Mallorca is the more likely winner in our model: 67%, draw 23%.
- Over 2.5 goals happened in 0% of Alcoyano’s home matches and 33% of Mallorca’s away matches over three seasons.
Yellow cards
Yellow cards over 4.5
Our model expects 5.1 yellow cards: Alcoyano 2.7, Mallorca 2.4; typical match of the competition — 4.5. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 57% (typical match — 48%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 4.5 — 57%, typical match 48%.
Result
Our model: Alcoyano win 10%, draw 23%, Mallorca win 67%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 32%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Alcoyano | Mallorca | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Both teams score | 33% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | 9.4 |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | 60% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.0 | 4.8 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 67% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.