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Reus FC Reddis vs Barakaldo: prediction and statistics
Spain · Copa del Rey · 18 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: Reus FC Reddis · Barakaldo
Before kick-off
Reus FC Reddis host Barakaldo in Copa del Rey on 18 November 2026.
Reus FC Reddis have blown hot and cold: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought Barakaldo no victory — 1 draw and 4 defeats. Counted in points, Reus FC Reddis took 7 from that stretch and Barakaldo only 1.
The home record of Reus FC Reddis (2024/25–2026/27) is balanced: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 6 matches, 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded per game. Away from home Barakaldo have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in 6 matches, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.3 per game.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
Reus FC Reddis: last five matches — L-W-L-D-W.
- 12 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Barakaldo: last five matches — L-L-L-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row under 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 5 matches without a win · away
- 5 matches in a row without both teams scoring · all competitions
Home and away record
Reus FC Reddis at home and Barakaldo away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Reus FC Reddis | Barakaldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 3-1-2 | 2-1-3 |
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.3 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 33% of Reus FC Reddis home games and 50% of Barakaldo away games.
- Our model sees an open game: Reus FC Reddis 29%, draw 29%, Barakaldo 42%.
Result
Our model: Reus FC Reddis win 29%, draw 29%, Barakaldo win 42%. Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 44%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| Reus FC Reddis | Barakaldo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 1.6 | 5.7 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 20% | 83% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.