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CD Minera vs FC Cartagena: prediction and statistics
Spain · Copa del Rey · 18 November 2026 · kick-off
Team stats: CD Minera · FC Cartagena
Before kick-off
CD Minera host FC Cartagena in Copa del Rey on 18 November 2026.
CD Minera arrive in excellent form: 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches. The last 5 games brought FC Cartagena no victory — 2 draws and 3 defeats. Counted in points, CD Minera took 13 from that stretch and FC Cartagena only 2.
Home advantage matters here: CD Minera have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in 6 home matches (2024/25–2026/27), scoring 2.5 and conceding 2.2 per game. On the road FC Cartagena are a dangerous side — 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in 6 away matches, 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
There are no previous meetings between the two sides in the Xpect database.
Form
CD Minera: last five matches — W-D-W-W-W.
- 39 matches in a row under 4.5 yellow cards · at home
- 7 matches unbeaten · at home
- 5 wins in a row · all competitions
FC Cartagena: last five matches — D-L-D-L-L.
- 5 matches without a win · away
Home and away record
CD Minera at home and FC Cartagena away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| CD Minera | FC Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Wins · draws · losses | 4-1-1 | 3-1-2 |
| Goals scored per match | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
🔒 Full statistics for this match — with an Xpect subscription
Corners, cards and goals by line, model estimates, team stats and referee open in the Xpect app and web version.
Key facts
- Three-season trend: over 2.5 goals in 67% of CD Minera home games and 17% of FC Cartagena away games.
- Our model sees an open game: CD Minera 43%, draw 29%, FC Cartagena 28%.
Result
Our model: CD Minera win 43%, draw 29%, FC Cartagena win 28%. Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 43%.
Team statistics for three seasons
| CD Minera | FC Cartagena | |
|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 17% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 33% |
| Total corners per match | 9.0 | 12.0 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 0% | 100% |
| Total yellow cards per match | 0.2 | 4.2 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 0% | 33% |
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: our own model — who is stronger comes from an attack and defence rating adjusted for the strength of the opponents (wins over weak sides count for less, so a promoted team gets no extra credit), how many goals from the last 30 matches of each team, Poisson distribution; tested the same way on 445,384 matches since July 2023. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.