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Aldershot Town vs Tamworth: prediction and statistics
England · National League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards: Aldershot Town 2.2, Tamworth 2.2; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 45% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 64%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Aldershot Town win 38%, draw 25%, Tamworth win 37%. Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 63%.
Form
Aldershot Town: last five matches — L-L-W-W-D.
- 3 matches unbeaten · at home
- 3 matches in a row over 4.5 yellow cards · all competitions
Tamworth: last five matches — D-L-L-L-L.
- 11 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 10 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · all competitions
- 7 matches without a win · away
Table: Aldershot Town — 8, Tamworth — 21 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Aldershot Town at home and Tamworth away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Aldershot Town | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 50 | 51 |
| Win rate | 34% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 67% |
| Both teams score | 66% | 67% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.6 | 3.9 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 50% | 33% |
Head to head
6 meetings in our database: Aldershot Town won 1, 2 draws, Tamworth won 3. Per match: 3.5 goals, 5.8 yellow cards.
- 14.02.2026: Tamworth 1:1 Aldershot Town
- 18.10.2025: Aldershot Town 1:2 Tamworth
- 25.01.2025: Aldershot Town 2:2 Tamworth
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Aldershot Town vs Tamworth?
Our model expects 4.4 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 45%.
Who is more likely to win Aldershot Town vs Tamworth?
Market line without margin: Aldershot Town 38%, draw 25%, Tamworth 37%.