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Boston United vs AFC Fylde: prediction and statistics
England · National League · 26 September 2026 · kick-off
Yellow cards
Yellow cards under 4.5
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards: Boston United 1.9, AFC Fylde 2.1; typical match of the competition — 3.8. Probability of over 4.5 cards: 37% (typical match — 34%).
This match is in the top of the day: Yellow cards over 3.5 — 56%, typical match 53%.
Result
Market line without margin: Boston United win 37%, draw 24%, AFC Fylde win 38%. Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 65%.
Form
Boston United: last five matches — L-W-L-L-D.
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · all competitions
- 3 matches without a win · at home
AFC Fylde: last five matches — W-L-W-W-W.
- 6 matches in a row over 2.5 goals · away
- 6 matches in a row both teams scored · away
- 3 wins in a row · away
Table: Boston United — 15, AFC Fylde — 4 (of 24).
Team statistics for three seasons
Boston United at home and AFC Fylde away, 2024/25–2026/27.
| Boston United | AFC Fylde | |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 51 | 28 |
| Win rate | 29% | 25% |
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 54% |
| Both teams score | 57% | 50% |
| Total corners per match | — | — |
| Over 9.5 corners | — | — |
| Total yellow cards per match | 4.2 | 4.5 |
| Over 4.5 yellow cards | 39% | 43% |
Head to head
8 meetings in our database: Boston United won 1, 1 draws, AFC Fylde won 6. Per match: 2.8 goals, 2.5 yellow cards.
- 18.02.2025: AFC Fylde 1:2 Boston United
- 23.10.2024: Boston United 1:2 AFC Fylde
- 15.04.2023: Boston United 0:1 AFC Fylde
Referee
The referee has not been appointed yet — this usually becomes known 1–3 days before the match.
Every corners and cards line for the match and each team, team statistics for this season, three seasons and all data, the last 10 matches, referee and head to head — plus Toha, the AI analyst.
How we calculate
Corners and cards: our own model on the last 30 matches of each team, pulled toward the competition average; tested on 126,835 matches from 2014–2026, each forecast using only games played before it. Result and goals: market line with the margin removed. Form, head to head and referee: our database of more than half a million matches.
Questions and answers
How many yellow cards in Boston United vs AFC Fylde?
Our model expects 4.0 yellow cards; the probability of over 4.5 is 37%.
Who is more likely to win Boston United vs AFC Fylde?
Market line without margin: Boston United 37%, draw 24%, AFC Fylde 38%.